Too Hot for Dogs Too!

DO NOT walk your dog in the heat! Besides possible heatstroke, just like humans, your dog could likely be scorching the pads on his paws. Veterinarians say that burns can occur when the surface exceeds 125 degrees. To illustrate, I took some measurements of some surface temperatures today at 10:30 am and again at 12:30 pm. And these are still not the hottest time of day! As a rule of thumb (or paw), if you can't stand on it barefoot then don't let your dog walk on it! 

Jan Null, CCM
Golden Gate Weather Services
jnull@ggweather.com

 

Posted

Don't Trust Your Car's (or Bank's) Thermometer

With the warm weather I’ve been hearing about LOTS of really hot outlier temperatures being reported from car thermometers; and their owners wondering why they’re so different from official temperature reports. To clarify, let’s look first at how the official temperatures are measured.

There are four general guidelines for accurately measuring air temperatures.
- The thermometer must be outside of direct sunlight., otherwise you are measuring the sun’s intense shortwave energy and not the air temperature.
- It should also be in a well ventilated environment that’s representative of surrounding air, not in an enclosed area.
- Official temperatures are taken at about 5 feet above a natural surface and not a heat-retaining surface like concrete or asphalt. There can be as much as a 25 degree difference between air right above the ground and that at 5 feet.

- And measurements should also be far enough away from other heat emitting sources like walls and vehicles as to not be biased.

Conversely, the thermometers on most cars violate just about every one of the above guidelines. They are usually located under the front grillwork or adjacent body panel, only a foot or two above the highway or parking lot. Especially when a car has been sitting it is measuring the air heated by the parking surface plus any residual heat being given off by the vehicle itself. Even when a car is moving the temperature readings are upwardly biased by the heat given off by the roadway and the vehicle. It’s been my experience that car outside temperatures at startup on a warm day can be more than 10 degrees to toasty, and even while they seem generally to be at least 5 degrees too warm.


Similarly, the readings from locations like bank thermometers and some backyard thermometers don’t do a good job of accurately capturing the air temperature for some of the same reasons.

So when you next start up your car and see a dashboard outside temperature reading of 120° you can take solace in the fact that it’s probably only 105°!

Jan Null, CCM
Golden Gate Weather Services

Posted

California April Weather and Rainfall Season Summary

April was generally wetter than normal across California, except south of the Tehachapi's; while there were above normal temps near the coast and cooler readings inland.  See California Key City Climatology.

The seasonal rainfall continues to be mostly well above normal through the end of April, especially in the important Northern and Central Sierra Nevada watersheds. See California Rainfall Season to Date  and


The California Precipitation Snapshot has also been updated. 

Jan Null, CCM
Golden Gate Weather Services
jnull@ggweather.com

 

 

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NOT the end of the rain for the season

No, it's NOT yet the End of the Rainfall Season!!

Despite proclamations by several individuals, the most recent rainfall does NOT mark the end of California's rainfall season. Yes, the amounts drop off significantly as we transition into late spring and summer, but climatologically it would be quite unusual not to have rain in May and June. For example, the last time that San Francisco had zero rain for the months of May and June was in 1978!

Below are the normal rainfall amounts and the normal number of days of rain across California for May and June.


Jan Null, CCM
Golden Gate Weather Services
http://ggweather.com
jnull@ggweather.com

 

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A Look Back at the CPC 2016-17 Winter Outlooks


It's time to take a quick look back at the good, the bad and the ugly of the CPC Winter Precipitation and Temperature Outlooks from this past winter. Because of the probabilistic nature of this outlooks this review, like previous reviews, is very subjective. But at least in the West, when their sub-headline for the just finished winter was "Drought expected to persist in California" followed the previous winter's busted above normal El Niño forecast, the efficacy of the product certainly needed scrutiny. See or details CPC Winter 2016-17 Seasonal and Monthly Precipitation and Temperature Outlooks in Review:




Jan Null, CCM
Golden Gate Weather Services
jnull@ggweather.com

  

 

Posted

California 2nd Rainiest Jul-Feb

 

Statewide, the first eight months of the current rainfall season were the 2nd wettest on record in California going back to 1895-96. This season's 28.03" statewide was just short of the 1968-69 record of 28.30". Looking at the individual climate divisions, the Sacramento drainage (Clim Div 2) and the Northeast Interior (Clim Div 3) had their wettest ever, while the San Joaquin drainage (Clim Div 5) had their 3rd wettest. Neither of the Southern California climate divisions (i.e., Clim Div 6 and 7) were in the top 10.    



Jan Null, CCM
Golden Gate Weather Services
jnull@ggweather.com

 

 

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California Rainfall Data Archive


In response to many many requests for how this rainfall season compares to previous wet years I have put together an archive of monthly rainfall for data for about 50 California locations. The data is cobbled together from a variety of NOAA and NWS sources. The data is for each location's entire period of record, but beware some locales have missing data. My plan is to update this at the end of the rainfall season (i.e., June 30). Please let me know of any comments, errate of suggestions. See http://ggweather.com/monthly/ . Enjoy.



Jan Null, CCM
Golden Gate Weather Services
http://ggweather.com
jnull@ggweather.com

 

 

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Rainfall Season vs. Water Year

 

Unlike most parts of the United States, California’s Mediterranean climate is defined by its “summer drought” given that there is a natural break between one rainy season and the next.  This was recognized by settlers as far back as the Gold Rush and since that time the most common metric to quantify California (and other western states’) rainfall has been a July 1 to June 30 “rainfall season”. Consequently, thousands of reports, studies and analyses related to California rainfall have been based on the rainfall season, including the following from is some of the earliest chronicling of California weather.
 

Conversely, because there is lag of several months to when streamflows in the state’s rivers are at their lowest, hydrologists have historically (and logically for their purposes) used a Water Year (WY) metric from October 1 to September.

However, about two years ago, for reasons that have never been adequately explained, the National Weather Service (NWS) Western Region decided, without the opportunity for comment from the rest of the meteorological community or the public, to start calculating their rainfall products (i.e., Climate Station Precipitation Summary , and others) in regards to the hydrologist’s Water Year. (The remainder of the NWS, by the way uses the calendar year for summarizing rain data, as they do not have a natural summer break in rainfall.)  While this might be nice for consistency with the hydrologic community it puts them out of step with the vast wealth of historic data and others in the rest of the meteorological community.  This was even highlighted by a recent article in the LA Times, “Ideologies clash as weather service realigns rainfall calendar

The numerical differences between rainfall season and water year are slight (i.e., typically only about 3% of the annual amount) given the small amount of rain that typically falls in the months of July, August and September. And that rain is not lost, it is either counted at the end of one methodology’s season or the beginning of the other’s.

As stated about, the problem comes about when trying to compare data published by the NWS in terms of the hydrologist’s WY, with data from past events which have been characterized by meteorologists’ rainfall season.  [To their credit, NWS San Francisco Bay Area automatically generates a table which has both the rainfall season and water year, and it is my understanding the software used was made available, but unfortunately not adopted, by other NWS offices.]

An effort has been made, outside the NWS, to make available to the public and meteorological community data showing rainfall in terms of the July 1 to June 30 rainfall season with products like California Rainfall Season Totals. But this does not address the amount of unnecessary effort expended by everyone, but a very small group, to keep the data consistent and meteorologically logical.
 
Jan Null, CCM
Golden Gate Weather Services
http://ggweather.com
jnull@ggweather.com

 


 

Posted

Not the Wettest January or Season to Date


Yes, January and the Rainfall Season to date (July 1 to January 31) have been wetter than normal, but they are far from "the wettest" or record-setting. Only the 5-station Central Sierra Index had their wettest January on record, but that period of record goes back to only 1913, more than 60 years shorter than most of the other records. Of the individual stations with long periods of record extending back to the mid-19th century, San Francisco's 9.42" was only the 16th rainiest and Redding's 11.45" was their 23rd wettest.

Likewise, the season-to-date number have been impressive, but most have not even been in the top 10 wettest. 


The following are the Top 10 Wettest Januarys.


The following are the Top 10 Wettest July through January.


Jan Null, CCM
Golden Gate Weather Services
jnull@ggweather.com

 

 

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