Does a Dry February Mean a Wet March or April

There has been speculation in the past few days that a dry February portents a wet (i.e., "Miracle") March. However, a look at the years when San Francisco has had less than 0.50" of rain in February does not support that thesis. In fact, only 6 of those 18 years had above normal March rain totals. 

The odds are only slightly better for the combined total of March and April, with only half above normal.

Jan Null, CCM
Certified Consulting Meteorologist
Golden Gate Weather Services
Twitter: @ggweather