California Mid-Winter Dry Periods


Cue "It's Not Unusual" (by Tom Jones), because an extended period of dry weather in the middle of winter isn't unusual for northern and central California. And given, the current medium range models the next chance of significant rain may be another week and a half off.

Based on San Francisco's daily rainfall, over the past 69 rainfall seasons (i.e., July 1 to June 30) there has been a "dry" period in December or January averaging 19 days. For practical purposes a "dry period" here is defined as consecutive dry days with no rain, or consecutive days broken by no more than two non-consecutive intervening days of very light (* i.e., ≤ 0.08 inches) rain].

The shortest dry spell was 8 days which occurred twice, in 1957-58 and again in 1994-95.  Both of these seasons were during El Niño events!  The longest dry spell was 56 days in 2014-2015, when there was 18.19 inches.  All of these dry periods began in December or January with the exception of the 1964-65 period which was 19 days but did not begin until February 6th.

Even the very wet El Niño seasons of 1982-83 and 1997-98 had intervening dry spells and 22 and 17 days respectively.

Data available at https://ggweather.com/enso/winter_dry_spells.htm

Jan Null, CCM
Certified Consulting Meteorologist
Golden Gate Weather Services
Email: jnull@ggweather.com
Web: http://ggweather.com
Twitter: @ggweather
 

Season

Consecutive        *Dry Days

Begin Date

*Intervening Days/Amount

1950-51

13

17-Dec

 

1951-52

12

6-Dec

1/.08

1952-53

13

21-Jan

 

1953-54

13

21-Dec

1/.01

1954-55

16

14-Dec

 

1955-56

20

28-Jan

 

1956-57

33

6-Dec

2/.03

1957-58

8

6-Dec

 

1958-59

12

12-Jan

 

1959-60

13

15-Dec

 

1960-61

36

19-Dec

1/.02

1961-62

21

22-Dec

 

1962-63

42

18-Dec

 

1963-64

19

25-Dec

2/.08

1964-65

19

6-Feb

 

1965-66

21

7-Jan

1/.02

1966-67

30

11-Dec

1/.01

1967-68

23

19-Jan

 

1968-69

13

24-Dec

 

1969-70

12

26-Dec

 

1970-71

29

17-Jan

 

1971-72

21

30-Dec

 

1972-73

15

24-Dec

 

1973-74

11

20-Jan

 

1974-75

22

5-Dec

2/.04

1975-76

25

10-Jan

 

1976-77

26

13-Jan

 

1977-78

16

20-Jan

1/.02

1978-79

15

19-Dec

 

1979-80

26

18-Jan

 

1980-81

16

5-Dec

 

1981-82

12

6-Jan

 

1982-83

22

24-Dec

 

1983-84

15

31-Dec

 

1984-85

11

27-Dec

 

1985-86

21

8-Dec

 

1986-87

15

7-Jan

 

1987-88

28

30-Jan

 

1988-89

11

11-Jan

 

1989-90

36

26-Nov

 

1990-91

17

20-Dec

 

1991-92

17

8-Jan

1/.04

1992-93

14

22-Jan

 

1993-94

20

15-Dec

1/.03

1994-95

8

31-Jan

 

1995-96

15

31-Dec

1/.02

1996-97

20

27-Jan

2/.07

1997-98

17

15-Dec

2/.03

1998-99

21

21-Dec

2/.02

1999-00

27

14-Dec

1/.03

2000-01

22

16-Dec

1/.03

2001-02

18

3-Jan

1/.02

2002-03

19

24-Jan

 

2003-04

11

10-Dec

1/.04

2004-05

17

9-Dec

 

2005-06

14

3-Dec

1/.03

2006-07

12

5-Jan

 

2007-08

10

11-Jan

 

2008-09

18

3-Jan

 

2009-10

12

31-Dec

1/.05

2010-11

14

31-Dec

 

2011-12

49

1-Dec

 

2012-13

16

7-Jan

1/.01

2013-14

36

12-Dec

2/.08

2014-15

56

21-Dec

1/.07

2015-16

9

25-Dec

2/.06

2016-17

10

23-Dec

 

2017-18

13

21-Dec

 

2018-19

11

25-Dec